Have we ever had a QB carousel like 2020 free agency is shaping up to be? I give credit to Dave Dameshek for highlighting throughout the season how crazy this off season COULD be for QB movement. With Tom Brady and Philip Rivers hitting the market, 3 QBs slated to go top 10 in many Mock Drafts, Ryan Tannehill making himself a viable starter, Winston, Mariota, and Cam probably on the move, Taysom Hill being a weapon with Teddy winning 5 games and Drew Brees future only recently announced, there is a ton going on in the market. So I decided to take some chances and make some takes regarding the QB market.
Cincy: Trade with Raiders for Carr, 2020 12, 19, 3rd, 2021 1st and 4th. Draft Love at 12
Joe Burrow is being touted as something close to a Can’t Miss Prospect. But let’s not forget the last QB from LSU to go 1st overall was one of the biggest busts ever. Now Burrows doesn’t look at all like Jamarcus Russell, but it pays to be cautious. He was a prolific dual threat QB at Athens in Ohio as a high school student, but after committing to in state darling OSU, he backed up JT Barrett for two years before transferring to LSU when he wasn’t appointed the starter. His first year with LSU he was just OK with sub 60% completion, fewer than 3,000 yards, and a mere 16 TDs. Also, Burrows benefited from a bevy of first round talents on his offense, in skill positions and on his line. There are enough red flags to be hesitant with the first pick when it can be traded for a proven starter, 3 first round picks, and a couple others, you take it. By dropping back, Cincy also takes Jordan Love, a player with a bunch of the tools but lacking the sustained success of those higher rated passers.
Raiders: Snag Brady AND draft Burrow
The raiders purge Carr and pick up the GOAT. They also get Joe Burrow to let him adjust to the pro game for a year before he takes over. Though a 2 year, 60 million dollar deal has been brought up for Brady, my guess is it will end up as a one year deal. Burrow, though with the concerns mentioned above, is first of all a high character kid. A friend lived in Athens and their kids attended school with him. Though their son who was in his grade was in theater and drama, he raved about how good a person Burrow is. Witnessing him raise thousands for charity with his Heisman speech also attests to him being a good guy. As a historically great Heisman winner who vanquished Bama and Clemson in the same season while averaging nearly 4 TDs a night, he has insane potential.
Jax: Picks up Dalton, drafts Fromm in 2nd
Nick Foles has shown he is far less effective away from Philly. He needs to get back there. Minshew is tantalizing, but the question of whether the team as a whole is poorly assembled or if Gardner couldn’t elevate them will lead Jacksonville to investigate the market. With Dalton on the oust from Cincy, the Red Rifle comes to Duval, while a Day 2 pick grabs his eventual replacement. Minshew is a high level back up who will be Foles South as a guy who can help the team win in dramatic fashion when needed, but doesn’t ever get the keys to the car unless there is an emergency.
Ten: Retains Tanny
This should be an easy decision for both the Titans and Ryan. He was considered washed up in Miami, and the offense was stagnant in Tennessee before he started. If Tennehill plays it smart and takes a deal below what he would get in the open market then the team can also keep Henry and retain a powerful offense.
NO: Keep Brees, let Teddy and Hill go
Bridgewater has a history as a starter and went 5-0 as a starter in ’19. Hill was the best player in the playoffs against Minnesota and wants to start. Brees wants to put records out of reach of Brady and those years behind him. This is a parting of the ways.
Pats: Teddy Bridgewater
As stated above, Teddy has experienced success already. He is young enough to be a starter for a half decade for a team looking to win. New England will coach him up and place a great team around him.
Indy: Snag Taysom Hill
Frank Reich is drooling at the opportunity to have such a dynamic weapon run his offense. He called some creative stuff in Philly, and having Hill’s athleticism would provide an opportunity for a Baltimore like overhaul for the team next season.
Mia: Tua
Don’t overthink is Miami. Fitz will hold down the fort until Tua is healthy. This will be good.
Detroit: Trades Stafford to Chargers for 2020 and 2021 1st, 2nd, 3rd, package more trades, get Herbert at 16 and ATL 2nd and 2021 2nd
This one may seem a bit crazy, but Stafford hasn’t had a complete offense around him. While the Megatron years had an insane talent to throw to, there was little else. The Chargers have Ekelar, Allen, and more as weapons. Stafford can elevate them with his toughness and talent a la Peak-Rivers. They get a bunch of picks to take a huge cap hit before trading the Chargers’ top pick with Atlanta to grab new starter Herbert and a few extra later picks.
Chargers: Trade for Stafford
On pure arm talent, Stafford is amazing. He can modify his arm angle and release for some crazy throws. He will bring a better talent to the backfield than the Chargers have had since the early 2010’s.
Car: Trade Cam, draft Jacob Eason in 2nd
Carolina appears to be done with Cam, so they trade him and look ahead. Jacob Eason has the size, arm talent, and prolific success to be a great pick up as a surprising first rounder, but Carolina trades down to get him and pick up other picks.
Chicago: Trade for Cam
Mitch is a poor man’s Cam, and the Prototype replaces him. Cam is going to get a deal a starter deserves, but with “prove it” details to protect Chicago. Cam is at his best pounding the opposing defense and running amuck. He is a Bull. Without having to protect either QB due to a similar mold as a back-up, both Mitch and Cam can be running and throwing bombs willy nilly and creating a crazy and exciting offense to watch in the Windy City.
Tampa Bay: Snag Rivers, let Winston go
Ariens took Old Man Carson Palmer to the cusp of the Super Bowl, and this O has better pass catcher depth. Philips will be getting close to home, starting again, and has the chance to become the top performer in a possibly weak division (dependent on Brees’ decline and how Carolina and Atlanta improve).
Pitt: Snag Winston
Big Ben won’t be around for much longer. Winston is a knock off Ben, with huge arm talent. If the eye surgery improves his interception rate, Winston may be a steal. If he still throws 20 INTs a year but with over 35 TDs, the Steel City is the place to do it thanks to the run game, O line, and defense being able to mitigate the issues.
I understand nowhere near all of these things will occur… but it would be exciting if they did!
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